Buffett: Fear Is Winning — But It Won’t Win In The End

In a wide-ranging interview with Dateline NBC’s Tom Brokaw, Warren Buffett says that fear is currently winning out over hope in the U.S. economy — but that he wouldn’t bet against the country’s ability to recover from this crisis and go on to new heights. “Right now fear is [winning],” Buffett said. “It really is an economic Pearl Harbor. … The country is facing something it hasn’t faced since World War II. And [people] are… Read More

“Black Swan” Author: Situation “Vastly More Dangerous Than The Great Depression”

In his 2007 book The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb warned of the dangers of a U.S. bank imiplosion. Now, with some of his fears having been realized as the country’s financial system steers though a crisis, Taleb tells Forbes that he doesn’t think the pain is over — and that “the situation is vastly more dangerous than the Great Depression.” “Everyone is in denial,” Taleb told Forbes’ Robert Langreth. “The car is in the… Read More

Yale Endowment Guru Not Changing Approach after Tough Year

David Swensen, who produced exceptional returns as Yale University’s endowment’s chief investment officer for two decades before hitting a rough patch in 2008, talked to the Wall Street Journal this week about a number of key financial issues, ranging from his own strategy, to Bernard Madoff, to what he believes are the best opportunities in the current market.

Ben Graham Portfolio at Top of The Charts

I always find it interesting to look at the guru portfolios I run on Validea, and ask the question “what is working” now? Over the last month, in a period where the S&P is up 0.4%, 11 out of Validea’s 13 portfolios have outperformed. The best performer is my Ben Graham strategy, up 9.4%. Incidentally, the Graham portfolio is also the best long term performer (up 89.3 percent vs. -12.9% for the S&P since July… Read More

Barron’s 2009 Roundtable Summary: Experts See Uncertain Times Ahead

This is the first of three Barron’s Roundtable articles featuring some of the best and brightest in the investment industry. In general, these experts see more uncertainty in 2009, but think there are ample opportunities for good stock-picking strategies. Writes Barron’s Lauren R. Rublen, “The [roundtable] was rife with history lessons and warnings — and optimism, too, that those who find bargains amid the rubble will reap rich rewards. Or, as [panelist] Meryl Witmer nicely… Read More

Reese: Five Reasons for Optimism

In the week’s Validea Hot List newsletter, Validea CEO John Reese says that, despite the continuing troubles with the U.S. economy, he sees several clear reasons long-term investors should be high on stocks heading into 2009. “Good investors must have the ability to look past the near-term and see the forest for the trees,” Reese writes. “To me, the forest that is the stock market looks quite inviting right now.” Five reasons for his optimism:… Read More