Mohamed El-Erian says that while the latest jobs report isn’t perfect, it is “wow”-worthy — and that could actually mean US stocks will lag European equities in the short term.
Mohamed El-Erian says January’s jobs data was “very strong”, and may lead the Federal Reserve to start raising interest rates sooner than previously thought.
PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says the U.S. economy is improving, but still has big issues to deal with. “We continue to heal … but we’re not at escape velocity,” El-Erian tells CNBC. He says that while improvement can be seen in areas like housing, the U.S. hasn’t gotten over “the three big issues”: not enough aggregate demand, too few structural reforms, and too much leverage (which has been shifted from the private sector to the public… Read More
PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says what’s happening in Japan is key to what will happen with the bond market in the U.S. El-Erian tells CNBC that the latest stage of the stock market rally seems to have been driven by Japan’s big stimulus efforts, and by the notion in general that central banks around the globe are “all in” in terms of bolstering markets. El-Erian says he thinks that over the next few months we’ll find… Read More
PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says that all assets are trading at “very artificial” levels due to central bank policies. El-Erian tells Yahoo! Finance’s Daily Ticker that central banks’ flooding of the markets with liquidity is the reason why stocks are up significantly this year while Treasury rates have actually fallen. He says that the U.S. economy is healing slowly, and that companies are helping markets by giving cash back to shareholders. But he says the markets… Read More
PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says central banks are continuing down a path that has an incredibly bifurcated set of outcomes. “Rather than step back and ask why (the measures have not succeeded), they just go deeper and deeper,” El-Erian tells CNBC of the loose money policies central banks around the globe are using. “The question is, will they finally succeed in transitioning from assisted growth to real growth, or will it end in tears? I think… Read More
PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says it’s time to gradually take money off the table because asset prices have gotten ahead of fundamentals. “We think that prices are artificially high, that maintaining them here is going to be hard as central banks become less effective, and that it’s time to book some profits and to wait for some better entry points,” El-Erian tells Yahoo! Finance’s Daily Ticker. But he also says that this isn’t a “Lehman moment.”… Read More
When the financial crisis of 2008-09 hit, bond giant PIMCO was quick to say that the U.S. had entered a “New Normal” of slow growth, high unemployment, and debt woes. Now, PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says that we may be nearing the end of the “New Normal”. “We said in 2009: three to five years,” El-Erian tells CNBC, referring to how long he thought the New Normal would last. “Sectors have healed. The ‘new normal’ [has] allowed… Read More
PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says that if the U.S. avoids the “fiscal cliff”, he and PIMCO don’t think the U.S. will enter recession in 2013. El-Erian tells Bloomberg that he thinks we’ll continue to see sluggish growth in the 1.5% to 2% range as the economy continues to heal. “The big question for us is how effective will policy support be,” El-Erian says, explaining that he thinks Federal Reserve policy support has become less effective as… Read More
PIMCO’s Mohamed El-Erian says policymakers trying to address the country’s fiscal problems should focus on getting businesses and individuals to put the “ton” of cash now sitting on the sidelines to use, both via investment markets and capital spending. “If you make that your objective, you’re going to move not only just on fiscal reform but on labor market reform, on credit market reform, and on housing reform, and that’s what this country needs,” El-Erian tells… Read More