Four Top Fund Managers Advise Caution in 2018

A recent Bloomberg article shares market insights from six of the world’s top fund managers, four of which are “asking their clients to be cautious in 2018.” The four with cautious outlooks are: Scott Minerd, chief investment officer at Guggenheim Partners (manages $240 billion), is betting that the next recession is most likely going to occur in late 2019 to mid-2020. Minerd’s firm argues that current macroeconomic conditions are similar to those that existed 18-24 months prior… Read More

Bill Gross Likens Market to Retirement Community

In an interview with CNBC earlier this month, Janus Henderson portfolio manager Bill Gross said that the stock market’s “halcyon days are over” as central banks around the world take away the high levels of stimulus they’ve provided over the past ten years. “I’m not supporting a bear market,” Gross said in the interview, “but sort of a market where you move into an old-age retirement community where the pace of activity and prices behave… Read More

Is Bill Gross Still the Bond King?

As fund manager Bill Gross nears the third anniversary of his dramatic departure from PIMCO (which he co-founded and built into the world’s largest fund manager), his performance has been so-so, according to a recent article in Bloomberg. “Three years,” the article says, “is an important milestone for a money manager, because that’s when many financial advisers and institutional investors decide his track record is long enough to be meaningful.” While he managed the Pimco… Read More

Gross on Threats to Economy Going Forward

The quantitative easing that has occurred in the post-Lehman era has led to a situation, writes fund manager Bill Gross in a recent Barron’s article, where central bank balance sheets are replete with equities “in a desperate effort to keep global economies afloat.” Concurrently, he argues, more than $5 trillion of investment grade bonds “trade at negative interest rates in what can only be called an unsuccessful effort to renormalize real and nominal GDP growth… Read More

Bill Gross Forecasts Below-Par Economic Growth

In a recent article for Barron’s, fund manager Bill Gross argues that investors have “resorted to ‘making money with money’ as opposed to old-fashioned capitalism when money and profits were made with capital investment in the real economy.” This, he argues, will suppress real economic growth going forward. Gross explains that factors such as the replacement of workers with robots and trade-restrictive government policies present a “counterforce to creative capitalism in the real economy” which… Read More

Pimco’s New Investment Chief Bears Little Resemblance to Bill Gross

Dan Ivascyn, successor to Pimco co-founder Bill Gross as the firm’s investment chief, is overseeing what is characterized in a recent Wall Street Journal article as “a new direction taken by the California money manager as it recovers from the most tumultuous period in its history.” Gross resigned from Pimco in September of 2014 in the wake of much unrest. The article explains, “Hundreds of billions in client money followed Mr. Gross out of Pimco,”… Read More

Bill Gross Warns Investors to Preserve Capital

Under current conditions, warns bond guru Bill Gross, investors would be well served to focus more on preserving capital than earning high returns, according to a recent CNBC article. Given the huge amount of debt on our country’s books (upwards of $65 trillion), Gross says, “Our highly levered financial system is like a truckload of nitroglycerin on a bumpy road.” Manager of the $1.9 billion Janus Unconstrained Bond Fund, Gross feels that the Fed has… Read More

Gundlach Says the Bond Bull Dies at 3%

Jeffrey Gundlach says that a yield of 3% on the ten-year Treasury bond would represent the end of the three-decade bond rally, according to a recent Bloomberg article. The DoubleLine CEO’s threshold differs from the one set by Janus’s Bill Gross, who believes that 2.6% would signal the end of the bull. Yields on 10-year Treasuries surged after the presidential election to as high as 2.59% (on December 15th, after an all-time low of 1.35%… Read More

Gross Doubts 2% Growth Rate

Billionaire Bill Gross says that the 10-year Treasury yield moving  above 2.6%  is a more important event than the Dow hitting the 20,000 milestone, according to a recent Investment News article. The manager of the $1.8 billion Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund argues that a rise to above 2.6% would “mark an end to the three-decade bond bull market,” and that “it is the key to interest rate levels and perhaps stock price levels in… Read More

Bill Gross on Weak Credit: Do Not Pass Go

It might sound like an oversimplification to discuss the current state of the credit markets in terms of a Monopoly game, but that’s exactly what Janus fund manager William Gross does in a recent Barron’s article. In particular, Gross compares a player’s passing of “Go” and collection of $200 as representing “new credit that is responsible for the ongoing health of our finance-based economy.” Without it, he argues, “economic growth moves in reverse and individual… Read More