Yale economist Robert Shiller says he thinks U.S. and European stocks are overvalued. “I would say the market is overpriced based on fundamentals,” Shiller tells CNBC. “The Dow [reaching] 12,000 doesn’t stimulate me to excitement.” Shiller also says the housing market is “inherently psychological”, and says he thinks we may see a renewed downtrend in home prices.
Housing played a huge role in the 2008 market crash and “Great Recession”, and in her latest market commentary Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann Sonders offers some interesting insights into where the housing market now stands, and where it’s headed. Sonders examines the current housing environment, as well as several historical patterns in housing, including the relationships between housing and unemployment and housing and GDP growth. Among some of her findings: Real house… Read More
Yale economist Robert Shiller says the poor home sale figures in July came in an “anomalous” month. Shiller tells Bloomberg that the scheduled expiration of the government’s homebuyer tax credit program led many buyers to rush to get their purchases made by the June 30 deadline, meaning that a July dropoff shouldn’t be a big surprise. [youtube= http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYuyxVaLbe4]
Yale economist and home price index co-creator Robert Shiller says he’s not sure where housing prices are headed, but he is worried about the broader economy. “I’m worried about a double-dip recession,” Shiller tells Reuters Insider, pointing to lingering problems with the economy, such as high long-term unemployment. “Something is not normal in this economy yet.” He adds that the probability of a double-dip is more than 50 percent. “I actually expect it,” he says.
Whitney Tilson, one of the few who saw the housing crash coming, says the housing market now stands “on a precipice”, and says he’s shorting homebuilders. Tilson says it’s unclear which way the housing market will tip. Affordability and mortgage rates are good right now, he says, but millions of people are underwater on their mortgages, which could lead to millions of potential foreclosures that would add huge amounts of inventory to the market. Regardless… Read More
John Paulson, the hedge fund manager who made billions by calling the U.S. housing market plunge, now sees good times ahead for U.S. home prices and corporate profits. And he says the country is in the midst of a strong V-shaped economic recovery. According to CNBC, Paulson has told investors he expects housing prices to rise 3% to 5% in 2010 and another 8% to 12% in 2011. He says that homes are the most… Read More