U.S. Government Just Gave Investors Part of their “Super Stock” for Free (Sort Of)

By Justin J. Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau) —  Sometimes someone says something that hits you like a ton of bricks. Well, in early January Warren Buffett was on CNBC and one of the topics he was discussing was tax reform and its impact on the value of stocks (see full video here, pick it up at the 17 min mark). In classic Buffett fashion, he makes a few very salient points that are worth digging into. Buffett… Read More

Four Top Fund Managers Advise Caution in 2018

A recent Bloomberg article shares market insights from six of the world’s top fund managers, four of which are “asking their clients to be cautious in 2018.” The four with cautious outlooks are: Scott Minerd, chief investment officer at Guggenheim Partners (manages $240 billion), is betting that the next recession is most likely going to occur in late 2019 to mid-2020. Minerd’s firm argues that current macroeconomic conditions are similar to those that existed 18-24 months prior… Read More

A List of Investing Dos and Don’ts

In a September memo, Oaktree Capital’s Howard Marks outlined six investment options for a “low-return world.” In a follow-up article from Bloomberg, author Ben Carlson presents the pros and cons related to what he views as the best three on the list: Invest as you always have and settle for today’s low returns– Pro: It’s simple for investors to stay the course and adjust expectations. Con: The low returns resulting from this strategy means that… Read More

What A 238 Mile Sailboat Race Can Teach About Investing

By Jack M. Forehand —  I have raced sailboats since I was 12 years old. It has always been a passion of mine. The combination of being on the water while doing something competitive at the same time has always been a big draw for me. Over Labor Day weekend, I competed in the Stamford Vineyard Race on a friend’s boat Threebeans. The race includes many exhilarating moments, but also significant down time, and during… Read More

Master Investors Marks, Dalio & Gundlach Issue Cautionary Views on Markets

By John P. Reese — The waning days of August leave many parents looking forward to the start of school and many investors bracing for September, the month that is historically the worst of the calendar year for stocks. Add the increasing uncertainty coming out of Washington and stock valuations that look increasingly overheated, and it’s enough for a few prominent investors to warn that a pullback is probably on its way. That may not… Read More

Investors Who Dare to Be Different Stand a Better Chance for Success

By John P. Reese In 2006, Oaktree Capital co-chairman Howard Marks wrote a memo titled Dare to Be Great in which he delivered a simple but provocative statement about investing: “This just in: you can’t take the same actions as everyone else and expect to outperform.” Being different, he argues, is “absolutely essential if you want a chance at being superior.” Going against the herd, however, runs counter to human nature and can be exceedingly… Read More

Howard Marks: It’s Tough to Be Good at Macro Investing

Global macro hedge funds choose positions in various equity, fixed income, currency, commodities and futures markets based primarily on the economic and political views of various countries or their macroeconomic principles. According to last month’s Barron’s, they’ve suffered poor performance of late. Last year, the article notes, the benchmark HFRI Macro Index returned only 1.29%, trailing the overall hedge fund index’s return of 5.51%.”Their relatively good performance amid the financial crisis in 2008 and 2009… Read More

Howard Marks on the Post-Election Markets

In last week’s Barron’s, Oaktree Capital’s Howard Marks reflected on the presidential election and offered a wealth of insight regarding both its complexities and its multi-layered and far-reaching implications. With specific regard to the markets, Marks posed the question: “How could the expectation of a Clinton victory make stock prices rise, and then the reality of her defeat make them rise further?” He explained: “The market often fails to act rationally in the short run,… Read More

Marks: Be Selective in a Heated Market

  Last month, Bloomberg’s Erick Schatzker sat down with Howard Marks, co-chairman of Oaktree Capital, to discuss the fund manager’s investment approach. With respect to whether the now-stretched equity valuations make for what some are calling “treacherous” conditions, Marks comments, ” The riskiest thing in the world is to believe there’s no risk. When people talk about risk in the market, that’s a healthy thing.” According to Marks, however, there is an incongruity between words… Read More

A Sage Investor – Howard Marks – Shares His Wisdom: Part II

This is a continuation of yesterday’s post. Howard Marks is co-founder of Oaktree Capital Management and author of The Most Important Thing: Uncommon Sense for the Thoughtful Investor (2011). His thoughts, ideas and insights have become fodder for many of our blog posts as he is very willing to share them. In an interview with John Mihaljevic, CFA and Managing Editor of the newsletter The Manual of Ideas, Marks shares his views on many issues… Read More