Howard Marks Weighs in on Surviving Market Upheaval

A recent Barron’s article offers insights from Oaktree Capital Management co-founder Howard Marks on the recent uptick in market volatility. Here are some highlights of Marks’ comments: The market is no longer in an “optimistic” phase. “For some reason,” Marks said, “because of the way investor psychology works, people switch from only seeing the good to seeing only the bad. So, what I said nearly a month ago about the market being in an optimistic… Read More

The Challenges of Market Cycle Timing

By Jack Forehand (@practicalquant) —   Everyone wants to follow the investing advice of market legends. After all, that level of success is typically not achieved by accident. Investors want to learn from their wisdom. They want to do what they do. In some cases that can be a slippery slope, though, and it is important to consider the advice of market legends in the context of your own personal situation. . Howard Marks’ new Book, Mastering… Read More

Market Wisdom from Howard Marks

In a recent podcast, author Tim Ferris interviews Howard Marks to discuss the Oaktree Capital co-founder’s views on investor psychology, his new book Mastering the Market Cycle: Getting the Odds on Your Side, and macro issues related to the economy. The lengthy discussion spans Marks career, life lessons, and how to navigate an uncertain and random world. Here are some highlights: Marks emphasizes the importance of knowing your limitations as an investor. The phrase, “I don’t… Read More

Howard Marks: Computers Won’t Replace the Best Investors

In his recent memo entitled, “Investing Without People” Oaktree co-founder Howard Marks argues that passive and quantitative investing will all help keep markets efficient and reduce costs for investors. This according to an article in The Wall Street Journal. But while active managers have underperformed their benchmarks for years while charging high fees to investors, Marks doesn’t think the strategy is “dead,” adding, “I doubt computers can do what the very best investors do.” The… Read More

Some Thoughts on Howard Marks’ Most Recent Memo

By Jack Forehand (@practicalquant) —   Howard Marks’ memos provide some of the deepest and most thought provoking insights in the investing world today. They are on par with Warren Buffett’s annual letters as one of the few must reads in investing today. Marks just recently posted a new memo, and the topics he covered were very close to home for me as someone who believes in quantitative and factor-based investment strategies.  The memo was titled Investing… Read More

U.S. Government Just Gave Investors Part of their “Super Stock” for Free (Sort Of)

By Justin J. Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau) —  Sometimes someone says something that hits you like a ton of bricks. Well, in early January Warren Buffett was on CNBC and one of the topics he was discussing was tax reform and its impact on the value of stocks (see full video here, pick it up at the 17 min mark). In classic Buffett fashion, he makes a few very salient points that are worth digging into. Buffett… Read More

Four Top Fund Managers Advise Caution in 2018

A recent Bloomberg article shares market insights from six of the world’s top fund managers, four of which are “asking their clients to be cautious in 2018.” The four with cautious outlooks are: Scott Minerd, chief investment officer at Guggenheim Partners (manages $240 billion), is betting that the next recession is most likely going to occur in late 2019 to mid-2020. Minerd’s firm argues that current macroeconomic conditions are similar to those that existed 18-24 months prior… Read More

A List of Investing Dos and Don’ts

In a September memo, Oaktree Capital’s Howard Marks outlined six investment options for a “low-return world.” In a follow-up article from Bloomberg, author Ben Carlson presents the pros and cons related to what he views as the best three on the list: Invest as you always have and settle for today’s low returns– Pro: It’s simple for investors to stay the course and adjust expectations. Con: The low returns resulting from this strategy means that… Read More

What A 238 Mile Sailboat Race Can Teach About Investing

By Jack M. Forehand —  I have raced sailboats since I was 12 years old. It has always been a passion of mine. The combination of being on the water while doing something competitive at the same time has always been a big draw for me. Over Labor Day weekend, I competed in the Stamford Vineyard Race on a friend’s boat Threebeans. The race includes many exhilarating moments, but also significant down time, and during… Read More

Master Investors Marks, Dalio & Gundlach Issue Cautionary Views on Markets

By John P. Reese — The waning days of August leave many parents looking forward to the start of school and many investors bracing for September, the month that is historically the worst of the calendar year for stocks. Add the increasing uncertainty coming out of Washington and stock valuations that look increasingly overheated, and it’s enough for a few prominent investors to warn that a pullback is probably on its way. That may not… Read More