Bets on U.S. Consumer by Bond Investors are Winning Big

Bets on U.S. Consumer by Bond Investors are Winning Big

As households are spending less and saving more, investors who bet U.S. consumers will keep paying their debts this year are seeing a windfall. This according to a recent article in The Wall Street Journal.

Bonds backed by consumer loans reportedly returned about 10% through October (data from Citigroup), making them the top-performing investments in 2020. “Prices for the so-called asset-backed securities have soared as consumers bucked expectations and responded to the coronavirus pandemic by paying down debt at a rapid clip,” the article notes.

In 2019, the article reports that household debt rose to a record $14 trillion as Americans “spent aggressively in a tight labor market, using personal loans to cover car and home repairs, credit-card consolidation and other expenses. When the coronavirus hit, lenders expected delinquencies to spike,” it added, but thanks to government assistance and reduced spending due to pandemic-related shutdowns, the expected increase in defaults never materialized. On the contrary, many households used the extra cash to pay down debt.

The article notes, “It is unclear whether consumer-loan payments will remain stable as months pass without additional government support.”