Kenneth Fisher says the U.S. isn’t headed for a recession, and a big reason for his confidence is one you might not expect: iron ore prices. “Particularly in recent years,…
Category: Historical Lessons
Hussman: Short-Term Conditions "Hard-Negative"
Fund manager John Hussman says the current stock market condition “warrants unusual concern,” and is playing defense with his portfolio. “Based on a wide variety of evidence and its typical…
Getting Contrarian With The Dreman Approach
Every other issue of The Validea Hot List newsletter examines in detail one of John Reese’s computerized Guru Strategies. This latest issue looks at the David Dreman-inspired strategy, which has averaged annual…
Top Fund Managers: Valuations Very Compelling
O. Mason Hawkins and G. Staley Cates, whose Southeastern Asset Management funds have excellent track records over the past decade, say they are adding to their equity positions amid the…
Grantham Gloomy, But Not Running From Equities
GMO’s Jeremy Grantham sounds quite gloomy in his latest quarterly letter, though he advises a “near normal” allocation to equities and says high-quality U.S. stocks are “relatively cheap”. Grantham says…
Tilson On Financials, And The Importance Of Discipline
Whitney Tilson says he doesn’t think the U.S. is headed for financial Armageddon, which means numerous bargains — including several in the financial sector — are available right now. “Yes…
Sonders On Similarities, Differences Between Today and 2008
The eurozone debt crisis has frequently been compared to the Lehman Brothers-triggered financial crisis that rocked the U.S. in 2008. In recent commentary, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist Liz Ann…
Which Value Metric Offers The Most Value?
Last week we looked at some new data from James O’Shaughnessy’s updated version of his classic book What Works on Wall Street. This week we’ll examine some more of O’Shaughnessy’s…
Grantham, Doll Offer Different Takes On Margins
Are historically high profit margins for U.S. firms sustainable, or will they come bouncing back to the mean — and throw a wrench into the stock market in the process?…
Hulbert: Black Friday Not A Market Predictor
While the success of retailers on Black Friday can send stocks up or down in the very short term, Mark Hulbert says investors shouldn’t think that such market moves are…