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Search Results for: Luck

The Critical Importance of Process Over Outcomes in Investing

November 9, 2024

…result of luck and also likely won’t be repeatable. Consider two contrasting scenarios that perfectly illustrate a crucial lesson for investors. The first involves a day trader who experienced remarkable…

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Failure Points in Investing: Learning from the James Webb Telescope’s Journey

August 9, 2023

…people who have generated massive wealth by investing in some of these names. But, that can be more luck than skill and it’s important to not let a serendipitous stock…

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What Kobe Bryant’s Mantra of “Never Get Bored with The Basics” Can Teach Investors

August 2, 2023

…in the world of investing, the distinction between skill and luck is of paramount importance. Because there are so many variables at play in investing, luck always has some role…

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Buffett’s Success: A Good Decision Every 5 Years

May 15, 2023

…compounding interest, the luck of being born in the U.S., and basic strategies—as contributing to his success, rather than his own genius. Buffett often advises new investors to imagine a…

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Six Stages of Bubbles

January 6, 2023

…do with luck than skill. Stage Three: The bubble is inflated by investors driven by FOMO, and the influx of capital drives prices to be wildly overvalued. Investors tend to…

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Value Investing’s Golden Era Returns

December 15, 2022

…value investor—folded his investing fund, lacking anything of value to purchase. But eventually, the Nifty 50’s luck ran out with the Arab Oil Embargo in 1973 and the period of…

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Were Great Returns The Result of Skill or Luck?

October 25, 2022

Determining if a manager produced high returns thanks to their expertise or because of luck is a key piece of information for investors who are selecting which firm to give…

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What Seeing Galaxies From “Far, Far Away” With The Webb Telescope Can Teach Us About Investing

July 27, 2022

…previous and upcoming podcast guest, Kai Wu, of SparkLine Capital has done research on how intangibles and innovation can generate alpha. Good Luck Picking Winners Galaxies have lifespans, and while…

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Behavioral Bias Lessons

June 14, 2022

…that choosing a stock whose price skyrocketed indicates brilliance on the part of the investor, rather than just luck and a market pumped full of cheap money. “Herd Behavior”—going along…

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Active Managers’ Winning Streak Won’t Last

June 10, 2022

…So while the stories abound of stock pickers beating the market this year, it’s best to remember that it’s likely more luck than skill that’s sustaining their current winning streak….

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Recent Original Research
May 13, 2025
Ten Top NASDAQ 100 Stocks
The NASDAQ 100 has experienced a remarkable decade-long run, delivering impressive returns for investors across this extended period. However, beneath the surface of this broad index performance lies a more nuanced reality: individual companies continue to offer...
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The Magic Formula, outlined in "The Little Book That Beats the Market," distills complex stock selection into a straightforward two-factor approach. This method examines Return on Capital—measuring how efficiently a company converts assets into profits—and Earnings Yield,...
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Ten Top S&P 500 Stocks
The S&P 500 index encompasses over 500 companies across numerous industries—many operating profitable, sustainable businesses with strong underlying fundamentals that deserve investor attention. This market dynamic creates potential opportunities for investors willing to conduct thorough research beyond...
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