The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) recently published its 2008 stock screening review ($$). For those that may not know, AAII has been tracking the performance of its screens since 1998. Through December 5th, the median performance for all of the AAII strategies was -41.7%. But, there was one strategy that was positive. And not only was it positive, but, amazingly, it was up 32.6% for the year through the start of December. I… Read More
In a wide-ranging interview with Dateline NBC’s Tom Brokaw, Warren Buffett says that fear is currently winning out over hope in the U.S. economy — but that he wouldn’t bet against the country’s ability to recover from this crisis and go on to new heights. “Right now fear is [winning],” Buffett said. “It really is an economic Pearl Harbor. … The country is facing something it hasn’t faced since World War II. And [people] are… Read More
In his 2007 book The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb warned of the dangers of a U.S. bank imiplosion. Now, with some of his fears having been realized as the country’s financial system steers though a crisis, Taleb tells Forbes that he doesn’t think the pain is over — and that “the situation is vastly more dangerous than the Great Depression.” “Everyone is in denial,” Taleb told Forbes’ Robert Langreth. “The car is in the… Read More
In Barron’s Roundtable’s second installment, four strategists (Bill Gross, Felix Zulauf, Archie MacAllaster and Abby Cohen) offer up some investment ideas and thoughts on the market. Included in this post are some of their key thoughts and ideas, as well as an updated summary report below.
Investment manager and author John Mauldin — one of the few strategists who saw the 2008 stock market mess coming — tells Yahoo! TechTicker that he doesn’t see a turnaround coming in 2009.
David Swensen, who produced exceptional returns as Yale University’s endowment’s chief investment officer for two decades before hitting a rough patch in 2008, talked to the Wall Street Journal this week about a number of key financial issues, ranging from his own strategy, to Bernard Madoff, to what he believes are the best opportunities in the current market.
Examining historical trends in the 10-year price/earnings ratio, bond yield spreads, and equity risk level premiums, Professors Dale L. Domian and WIlliam Reichenstein make the case that now is a good time to buy stocks ($$) in a research piece published by the American Association of Individual Investors.
I always find it interesting to look at the guru portfolios I run on Validea, and ask the question “what is working” now? Over the last month, in a period where the S&P is up 0.4%, 11 out of Validea’s 13 portfolios have outperformed. The best performer is my Ben Graham strategy, up 9.4%. Incidentally, the Graham portfolio is also the best long term performer (up 89.3 percent vs. -12.9% for the S&P since July… Read More
Don’t expect the economic news to get better anytime soon — but there are opportunities to make money in this market. That’s what three top strategists — Ed Hyman of ISI Group, Bob Doll of BlackRock, and Bill Gross of Pimco — told Consuelo Mack in an exclusive interview on WealthTrack this week.
This is the first of three Barron’s Roundtable articles featuring some of the best and brightest in the investment industry. In general, these experts see more uncertainty in 2009, but think there are ample opportunities for good stock-picking strategies. Writes Barron’s Lauren R. Rublen, “The [roundtable] was rife with history lessons and warnings — and optimism, too, that those who find bargains amid the rubble will reap rich rewards. Or, as [panelist] Meryl Witmer nicely… Read More