Zweig Talks Color and Investor Behavior

New research shows that color can have a significant influence on investor behavior, writes Jason Zweig in a recent Wall Street Journal article. According to Zweig, researchers have found that “seeing red has a drastic effect on how people view investments.” One part of the research, says Zweig, shows that when investors looked at charts of stocks in the S&P 500 index with falling prices and predicted how the shares would perform in the subsequent… Read More

Zweig: The Challenge of a Smaller Stock Pool

For stock pickers, choosing among a smaller universe of stocks is much more difficult, writes Jason Zweig in a recent Wall Street Journal article. Zweig cites data from the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business showing that the number of publicly traded equities has dropped from 7,355 in 1997 to the current level of less than 3,600. The decreased number of stocks, writes Zweig, is attributable to regulatory tape (that makes it tougher for smaller… Read More

Small Companies on the Decline, says Zweig

The number of publicly-traded companies has declined by half over the past two decades, with most of the decrease attributed to the smallest companies, writes Jason Zweig in last week’s Wall Street Journal. Zweig questions, however, whether this is making it more difficult for “stock pickers to beat the market and for investors to forecast future returns from past data,” an assertion the columnist made in an earlier article. Zweig cites comments from AQR partner… Read More

Zweig: Overseas Stock Investment Could Have Significant U.S. Exposure

A new study in the Financial Analysts Journal finds that investors can improve returns by buying international equities based on where they do most of their business rather than where they are headquartered. This according to a recent Wall Street Journal article by Jason Zweig. Zweig offers several examples including Infosys, the second-largest holding company in many India funds, which does “more than 60% of its total sales in North America and only 3% in its… Read More

Jason Zweig: Use Simple Tests Before Investing in a Quant Fund

In a recent article for the Wall Street Journal, Jason Zweig offers some tips on how an investor can devise his own quant strategy. “Perhaps it is cheaper to learn from the quants than to hire them,” he argues. Zweig shares findings of a Duke University group of researchers that found, during the period from 1996 to 2014, “systematic funds (which describe themselves with such words as ‘algorithmic’, ‘computer-driven’, or ‘statistical’) performed about the same… Read More

“Superstocks” Like Amazon are Hard to Find

Scoring a winning stock such as Amazon is exceedingly hard to do, writes Jason Zweig in a recent Wall Street Journal article. While it might not be useless to try, Zweig argues, “many investors are going about it the wrong way.” Zweig explains that, from 1926 through 2015, Amazon was one of the mere 30 stocks (out of 25,782 publicly traded companies) that accounted for one-third of the cumulative wealth created by the U.S. stock… Read More

Jason Zweig Says Active Managers Also Underperform in Down Markets

Although the data continues to show that stock pickers have underperformed the market, writes Jason Zweig in a recent Wall Street Journal article, “active managers insist that they will make a comeback.” The article cites data provided this month by Bank of America Merrill Lynch that shows “63% of active fund managers investing in large U.S. stocks outperformed their benchmarks in April, the best since February 2015.” Active managers, writes Zweig, claim that the pricey… Read More

Jason Zweig on Potential Quantitative Model Crisis

A Ph.D. in Economics and former senior risk manager for Bridgewater Associates, Richard Bookstaber argues that while human judgment along with quantitative modeling can lead to better results than either alone, “when humans put blind faith in quantitative models, that’s dangerous.” This according to Jason Zweig in this month’s Wall Street Journal. The article discusses Bookstaber’s new book, The End of Theory, in which the author argues that computers and mathematical models perform well when… Read More

Zweig: Emerging Markets Look Good, But Don’t Rush In

Funds are pouring into emerging market funds, with one-twelfth of total holdings having come in over the past 90 days, writes Jason Zweig of The Wall Street Journal. Presumably, he says, the heavy inflow is in “hot pursuit of high recent returns” (the asset class is up 12.4% this year). While participating in these funds is a good idea, Zweig says, investors should be careful not to rush in. “These stocks aren’t so much absolutely… Read More

WSJ’s Jason Zweig on American Capitalism

The notion of capitalism as a mechanism in which “fat and happy” companies become acquisition targets is changing, writes Jason Zweig in last week’s Wall Street Journal. Zweig cites new research that shows “U.S. companies are moving toward a winner-take-all system in which giants get stronger, not weaker, as they grow.” A few “superstar firms,” he says, have evolved to dominate and crowd out competitors. Twenty years ago, he writes, the U.S. had more than… Read More