…more to psychology than to fundamentals—and psychology can neither be predicted nor timed. Regarding emotion, Marks argued that “it starts with the question of whether or not you accept that…
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Robo-Analyst Sifts Through "Happy Talk" on Earnings Calls
…explains that his team built the model on a foundation of psychology and computational linguistics, a process that allowed them to pinpoint four red flags: Omission—if a company reported a…
Robert Shiller Discusses Bubbles and Narrative Economics
…trained in economics and are reluctant to get involved in sociology, psychology, anthropology, or history.” The theme of his book, he says, is that “there are new ways of thinking…
Five Questions: Machine Learning in Investing with Kevin Zatloukal
…machine has suddenly become intelligent. (Here, machine learning is teaching us new things about human psychology as well!) While we can achieve high accuracy in predicting the word being spoken…
Housing Bear Predicts a Rough 2019
…confidence dipped in December. He argues that even if mortgage rates level off or ease a bit this year, “we are unlikely to see the psychology turn around. Homebuyers have…
Morgan Housel on the Psychology of Money
In an episode of The Motley Fool radio show, host Chris Hill talked to The Collaborative Fund’s Morgan Housel about the psychology of investing and how humans behave when it…
Learning from the Hierarchy of Investor Needs
…The behaviors we exhibit when investing, which are influenced by our emotions, biases, experiences, surroundings and even our evolutionary psychology, play a major role in all the decisions up the…
Jeremy Siegel Says Stock Market Slips are not Cause for Panic
…the market every day, they get “wrapped up in the prevailing psychology,” becoming optimistic in a rising market. Alternatively, during a selloff many investors will assume that everything is terrible…
Learning from the Mistakes of Legendary Investors
…an exercise in psychology as it is accounting.” Talking to friends and family about investing is a mistake. According to Batnick, “Talking about your investments removes objectivity and adds difficulty…
Howard Marks Weighs in on Surviving Market Upheaval
…no longer in an “optimistic” phase. “For some reason,” Marks said, “because of the way investor psychology works, people switch from only seeing the good to seeing only the bad….