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Tag: forecasts

Humbling the Forecasters & Learning Lessons
6 months ago
Humbling the Forecasters & Learning Lessons

By Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau) — As we roll into year-end, the prediction business is about to pick up steam. Business channels and investing columns will soon be filled with lists…

Wall Street’s Forecasts Need To Adjust
10 months ago
Wall Street’s Forecasts Need To Adjust

Wall Street has been scrambling to readjust its recession calls since the Fed raised rates last month, and now most models predict the probability of a recession within the next…

Odds Of U.S. Recession 35%, Says Goldman Sachs
1 year ago
Odds Of U.S. Recession 35%, Says Goldman Sachs

If history has anything to say, the Fed has a rough road ahead as they try to tighten monetary policy enough to stem inflation and still avoid a U.S. recession.…

12 years ago
Putting All Your Chips in Hot, High-Growth Areas? Think Again

In a two-part series for Canada’s Globe and Mail, Validea CEO John Reese shows how chasing hot sectors or regions can lead to big trouble for stock investors. In Part…

Recent Posts
May 22, 2023
Interpreting the Key Lessons from Great Investors
May 15, 2023
Buffett’s Success: A Good Decision Every 5 Years
May 15, 2023
Win By Picking Former Losers
May 15, 2023
ChatGPT Causes A Stir
May 15, 2023
Berkshire’s Annual Meeting Brings Questions About Heir &...
May 15, 2023
“Dominant”-faced Male Analysts Get Better Information
Recent Original Research
May 10, 2023
What Would Your Investing Obituary Say?
By Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau) — At the Berkshire Hathaway annual meeting over the weekend, an attendee asked Warren Buffett for his advice on achieving success in life and investing. His response was a powerful one: "You should...
April 12, 2023
Four Lessons from Guy Spier
By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® (@practicalquant) — We were very fortunate to be able to interview Guy Spier on our Excess Returns podcast last week. If you haven’t watched the interview yet, I recommend you check it out before you...
April 5, 2023
The Long and Short of Factor Investing
By Jack Forehand, CFA, CFP® (@practicalquant) — Most of us who build factor-based portfolios rely on academic research as the underpinning of our strategies. And that makes a lot of sense. If we want to adopt an investment strategy that...
March 29, 2023
Combining Sentiment and Fundamentals: How Quant Models Uncover...
By Justin Carbonneau (@jjcarbonneau) — In my previous article, "Unlocking the Market's Mood," we explored various methods of gauging investor sentiment in stocks. In this article, we'll delve into how different investing models on Validea employ some...
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