While it may be reasonable to use long-term market data to help shape return projections, it should be a starting point which is then adjusted “up or down based on…
Tag: John Bogle
Bogle's Straightforward Formula for Estimating Future Stock Price Returns
The Wall Street Journal’s Money Beat column highlights the value of simplicity in investment prediction models. Profiling work by John C. Bogle, founder of Vanguard Group, that draws on historical…
Bogle Sees Subpar Returns for Stocks, But Few Alternatives
Jack Bogle says the market seems to be ignoring some big risks in the financial world, and he thinks stocks are poised for a below-average return over the next decade.…
Bogle Talks Stocks, Munis, and The Fed
In a wide-ranging recent interview with Fox Business News, Vanguard founder John Bogle says it’s reasonable to expect stocks to return about 7% to 8% per year in this decade,…
Bogle: Beware Fuzzy Numbers
Vanguard found John Bogle says investors should view stock market numbers with skepticism, particularly in terms of historical market returns being used as a guide for the future. “Even if…