Dan Kemp, the CIO of Morningstar’s EMEA division, sees opportunity for value investors and disagrees with the consensus that the coronavirus crisis favors growth strategies, according to a recent article in FTAdviser. “When you look at the UK market,” Kemp said, “It is priced very attractively compared to other equity markets.” He added that while it is difficult to predict what will happen regarding the political climate or central bank actions, history proves that share… Read More
According to a recent Morningstar article, the firm’s U.S. Market Index has “come thundering back since its late March nadir and is now down merely 7% year to date, even as the coronavirus pandemic persists.” The article argues that, while many investors are suspecting “irrational exuberance” on the part of investors, Morningstar believes the market’s bounce-back to be “broadly warranted.” “We expect the U.S. GDP to drop 5.1% in 2020 but surge back in 2021… Read More
A recent study conducted by Morningstar that analyzed returns from actively managed stock and bond funds between 2003 and 2016 found “no relationship between any type of management change and future returns,” according to an article in InvestmentNews. Although management changes get a lot of attention in the media and the investment community (the article cites the example of Bill Gross’s departure from PIMCO in 2014), the study concluded that their occurrence has little if… Read More
Two factors that can affect a fund’s performance are the level of fund inflows and the trading impact of that inflow, explains Morningstar’s Russel Kinnel in a recent article. For most funds, writes Kinnel, “the ideal level of money coming in is a small positive inflow. It gives the managers some money to pursue new ideas with but doesn’t force them into significant selling or buying.” Kinnel points out that a large inflow can be… Read More
A number of top investment strategists offered their opinions about the market and the economy at the recent Morningstar Investor Conference in Chicago, including value fund star (and Benjamin Graham disciple) Mario Gabelli. Gabelli, whose ABC fund posted its first negative returns in 14 years last year — when it dropped just 2% — sees opportunities in the market for long-term investors. “Basically we are very simple: What will the stock market do over the… Read More
Morningstar analyst Ann Gilpin says the investment research group believes the Dow Jones Industrial Average is now selling at a 30 percent discount. The Dow’s fair value is about 12,500, Gilpin says, noting that “our coverage universe [is] trading at the steepest discounts we’ve seen since we started valuing equities”. While acknowledging the weakness of the economy and the bloated levels at which stocks were selling before the recent crash, Gilpin says that the backlash… Read More