The yield curve, which shows how interest rates on different U.S. government bonds such as 3-month bills, 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes compare, as well as functions as a recession…
Tag: recession indicators
Ritholtz on the Yield-Curve Inversion
In a recent Bloomberg article, columnist Barry Ritholtz wrote that the yield-curve inversion that occurred earlier this month begs the question: “What might trigger the next recession and what might…
Recession Coming Soon? Not According to Google Trends
Google trends data are not showing that a U.S. recession is looming, says a recent article in Bloomberg. Analysis by the firm DataTrek Research shows that Google queries for coupons,…
The U.S. Expansion is Still Going
In a recent Bloomberg article, columnist Nir Kaissar suggests that the current extended period of economic growth—albeit raising plenty of questions among some market-watchers—may have a ways to go. Kaissar…
Should the Coming Yield Curve Inversion Frighten Investors?
A recent article in Forbes discusses the growing buzz about an impending yield curve inversion and the repercussions for the economy and stock market. “Inverted yield curves have successfully warned…
Signals from the U.S. Yield Curve
The difference between the two-and ten-year Treasury yield is the narrowest since 2007, a signal that “the market thinks the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate increases, which are driving short-term yields higher,…