…the journey.” Past returns versus expected future returns: “Investor behavior,” the article says, “indicates a profound belief that past is prologue,” but such biases can be “unhelpful or even dangerous.”…
Search Results for: psychology OR behavior
Why Artificial Intelligence Won’t Fundamentally Change Investing
…AI in the following way. 1: a branch of computer science dealing with the simulation of intelligent behavior in computers 2: the capability of a machine to imitate intelligent human…
Why Both Sides of the Active vs. Passive Debate Are Right
…are the returns investors in the funds actually achieve. They include the effects of investor behavior, unlike standard returns. When it comes to investor returns, index funds face one major…
Ray Dalio: Recent Market Dips Are Minor Corrections
The head of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund, says that “the latest sell-off in stocks and bonds is evidence of typical market behavior in the later parts of…
Robert Shiller on the Pricey U.S. Market
…Instead, he argues, it may be due in part to the higher rate of share repurchases in the U.S. or a “stronger psychology of fear about the replacement of jobs…
Four Top Fund Managers Advise Caution in 2018
…geopolitical issues; Elevated asset prices; Pro-risk investor behavior. Bill Gross, fund manager with Janus Capital (manages $190 billion) believes that prior market peaks allowed fund managers to partially protect their…
You Can’t Time The Market – But Many People Should
…buy and sell at the wrong times. So the difference in returns above would very likely be much greater when investor behavior is factored in, and the reduced volatility and…
Low-Rate Environment Could "Kill" Stock Market
…that the average yield on the 10-year Treasury of 2.35% fuels this “behavioral quirk,” keeping share valuations high. “The stock market is rich by just about any valuation measure,” it…
Schwab Chief Strategist Warns of Market Headwinds in 2018
…of the cycle—and cites increases in both capital spending and productivity as indicators. “That doesn’t mean we’re at an imminent end,” Sonders explains, “but it’s later-cycle-type behavior.” She adds that…
The Importance of Expectations in Investing
…my irrational behavior for football and will stick by my prediction of a Jets trip to the Super Bowl until the day that becomes a mathematical impossibility (which unfortunately for…