U.S. Recession in the Offing?

A recent Bloomberg article reports that an economic contraction could be coming as soon as next year, citing the Fed, the flattening yield curve, corporate leverage and tariffs as contributing…

Housel on the Irony of Luck

In a recent article for the Collaborative Fund, Morgan Housel contrasts luck and risk as they relate to investing, arguing “you cannot understand one without appreciating the other.” “This is…

The 40% Rule in Forecasting

 A recent article in The Wall Street Journal discusses the 40% rule, which it describes as “a favorite forecasting tactic of Wall Street analysts and other prognosticators trying to make…